FUTURE SCENARIOS

What we plan today will impact our region for years to come. That's why it's critically important that we gather input from the community, and work to project the effects the decisions we make on our area in the years and decades to come.

So, while the public input is important, so too is the ability to project out what the future looks like given the plans we implement today. We have modeled out four scenarios, aimed at projecting what the region looks like in 2050 based upon the effects of this long range plan.

While the plans focus on different actions taken, they all have multiple projects in common:

  • Addressing location-specific safety issues

  • Reducing traffic fatalities & major injuries

  • Installing EV charging ports

  • Pavement & bridge conditions

  • Smart pedestrian crossings

Click on each of the links below to learn more about each of the four scenarios.

Additionally, there are basic definitions for Environmental Justice (EJ) areas and Pavement Condition Rating (PCR).

Common Projects - Update_Website1_Safety
Common Projects - Update_Website2_EV.png
Environmental Justice (EJ) Areas

Using recent American Community Survey (ACS) data on minority and low-income populations, NOACA staff developed a definition of what constitutes an EJ area and produced a subsequent map of these locations. The NOACA Travel demand model zonal system was used as the unit of analysis for this EJ designation and map. In order to be considered an EJ area, one of two thresholds needed to be met:

  1. Greater than 30.73% minority population within a zone

  2. Greater than 12.34% low-income population within a zone

Scenario 1 - Projects - Update_Website1_
Pavement Condition Rating (PCR)

The Pavement Condition Rating (PCR) measure is a qualitative description of the structural state of the pavement. The PCR values span a spectrum of descriptive narrative ranging from “Very Good” to “Very Poor”. Each roadway segment is scored from 0 to 100 with 0 representing completely distressed pavement and 100 indicating perfect pavement condition.

PCR Graph.png
PCR Range

0 - 39

40 - 54

55 - 64

65 - 74

75 - 89

90 - 100

Pavement Condition

Very Poor

Poor

Fair to Poor

Fair

Good

Very Good